Shabana vs Mathare United: FKF Premier League Prediction & Preview

By Monlin Sports
Oct 23, 2025 | 5 mins read

Match Details

• Fixture: Shabana FC vs Mathare United
• Competition: FKF Premier League (Matchday 5)
• Venue: Gusii Stadium, Kisii
• Date: Sunday, October 26, 2025 
• Kick-Off: 14:00 EAT

Shabana vs Mathare United Prediction: Can Slum Boys Stop Hot Stars?

Shabana vs Mathare United promises an exciting FKF Premier League clash as Shabana FC look to maintain their strong start to the 2025/26 season. The home side, nicknamed 'Glamour Boys', currently sit 2nd in the table and will be favorites against struggling Mathare United, who are fighting to escape the bottom half.

Shabana's unbeaten run at home. came to a stop as they lost 2-1 to league leaders Posta Rangers while Mathare United also had a derby defeat as they lost 2-1 to Kariobangi Sharks away from home .

This Shabana vs Mathare United FKF Premier League fixture has historically been a tight affair, and the Slum Boys will need to be at their best to secure all three points at Gusii Stadium.

FKF Premier League Standings: The Gap Between the Sides

Shabana have collected 7 points from 4 matches, boasting a positive goal difference of +2. Their early-season form has them in title contention.

Mathare United sit in 13th position with 4 points, showing inconsistency with a -1 goal difference. The Slum Boys desperately need points to climb away from the relegation zone.

Recent Form Analysis: Advantage Shabana

Shabana FC Form (Last 4 Games, 2025/26 Season)

W-W-D-L(Most recent: 1-2 loss to Posta Rangers)

• Points Per Game: 1.75
• Record: 2 wins, 1 draw, 1 loss
• Goals Scored/Conceded: 7/5
• Goals Per Game: 1.75

Mathare United Form (Last 4 Games, 2025/26 Season)

L-D-W-L(Most recent: 1-2 derby loss to Kariobangi Sharks)

• Points Per Game: 1.00
• Record: 1 win, 1 draw, 2 losses
• Goals Scored/Conceded: 3/4
• Goals Per Game: 0.75

Shabana have been far more dangerous in attack, scoring 7 goals compared to Mathare's 3 goals. However, Mathare United have been slightly tighter defensively, conceding just 4 goals versus Shabana's 5 conceded.

Head-to-Head: Mathare Edge Recent Meetings

The Shabana vs Mathare United head-to-head record over the last two Premier League meetings shows:

• Total Matches: 2
• Shabana Wins: 0
• Draws: 1 (0-0, February 2025)
• Mathare United Wins: 1 (1-0, December 2024)

Mathare United hold a slight psychological advantage, though their most recent encounter ended goalless. Both teams will be eager to claim bragging rights in this FKF Premier League derby.

Team News & Injury Updates

Shabana FC

• Generally fit squad reported baring Brian Michira who will be sidelined for 2 months after suffering from persistent groin injuries. Oduor( knock)
• Looking to bounce back from narrow 0-1 defeat to Posta Rangers
• Home advantage at Gusii Stadium should boost morale

Mathare United

• Major boost with Bronson Nsubuga, club captain George Orako, and Harambee Stars striker Austin Odongo have all returned to training and are in contention for Sunday’s match.
• Improved squad depth gives coach John Kamau more tactical options

• Need to improve away form to challenge top sides

  Team manager Elijah Sani  told Mozzart Sport team

• Our full squad is training, and everyone is involved.

Tactical Breakdown: What to Expect

Shabana: Attack-Minded at Gusii Stadium

Under Coach Peter Okidi, Shabana will exploit home advantage:

• High-pressing game to disrupt Mathare's buildup play
• Focus on attacking width with dangerous wingers
• Target 1.75 goals per game average with early pressure
• Expect direct play into dangerous forward line

Mathare United: Defensive Discipline and Counter-Attacks

Coach John Kamau will prioritize organization:

• Deep defensive block to nullify Shabana's attacking threat
• Quick counter-attacks utilizing pace on the wings
• Set pieces could be key with limited possession expected
• Physical battle in midfield to disrupt Shabana's rhythm

Probable Starting Line-ups

Shabana FC (4-3-3)

GK: Maxwell
Omondi, Musamali, Okola, Wycliffe  
Byron, Justine, Erick
Omuri, Mokaya, Derrick, 

Mathare United (4-3-3)

GK: 16.Kevin Ouru (GK)
DEF: 23. Sammy Imbuye, 3. Herit Mungai, 28. Ian Omondi, 15. Cetric Asango (C), 
MID: 14. Mohammed Kilume, 12. Steve Kimari, 13. Brian Ouru, 
FWD: 27. Paul Kinyanjui, 8. Alex Warai, 17. Elli Asieche

Substitutes: 30. Robert Mboya (GK), 1. Daniel Odiwuor (GK), 7. John Nyawir, 20. Hillary Kiprotich, 6. Jacob Onyango, 10. John Macharia, 19. Brian Ochieng, 11. Glenn Odhiambo, 21. Dennis Okoth, 25. Derrick Anami

Shabana vs Mathare United Final Score Prediction

Shabana enter as clear favorites given their:

• Superior home record at Gusii Stadium
• Better attacking form (7 goals in 4 games)
• Higher league position and momentum
• 1.75 points per game vs Mathare's 1.00

However, Mathare United's tight defense and returning key players could make this competitive. The Slum Boys need points desperately and will fight hard.

Final Score Prediction: Shabana 2-1 Mathare United

Shabana vs Mathare United Betting Tips

• ✅ Shabana to Win (Home advantage + better form)
• ✅ Over 1.5 Goals (Both teams averaging 1+ goals involvement)
• ✅ Both Teams to Score (BTTS) (Shabana's defensive vulnerabilities + Mathare's counter-attacking threat)
• ⚠️ Correct Score: 2-1 Shabana (Value bet)

Why This Match Matters

For Shabana FC

• Cement top-four position and title credentials
• Maintain gap to mid-table pack
• Build momentum after Posta Rangers setback
• Gusii Stadium fortress mentality

For Mathare United

• Escape relegation zone with vital away points
• Boost morale after recent defeat to Kariobangi Sharks
• Prove returning players can make immediate impact
• Build foundation for survival push

Where to Watch Shabana vs Mathare United

The FKF Premier League match will be broadcast live on:

• Official FKF streaming platforms
• Azam TV confirmed broadcast partners

Match Preview Summary

Shabana FC are strong favorites in this FKF Premier League Matchday 5 clash. Their attacking form and home advantage at Gusii Stadium should prove decisive against a Mathare United side struggling for consistency.

The Slum Boys will rely on defensive organization and counter-attacks, but Shabana's 7 goals in 4 games suggests they have the firepower to break through. Expect a competitive derby with Shabana edging a 2-1 victory.

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